Thursday, December 29, 2005

Wow, Everyone is Joining the Party. Welcome Aboard Whitlock of ESPN

By Jason Whitlock
Special to Page 2


...Here are your 10 NFL Truths for the last week of the regular season:

...8. Of all the teams in the NFC, the Washington Redskins are the only team capable of winning the Super Bowl.

After being down on Joe Gibbs early in the season, I have to credit him for getting things together. If the Skins knock off the Eagles, they will enter the playoffs as the hottest team in the league -- hotter than the streaking Patriots, also winners of four straight.

Of course, we know the Redskins can play defense. What's been impressive is their offensive explosion the last two weeks -- 35 points in each victory, over the Cowboys and Giants.

The Skins have a good offensive line, three good running backs, a big-play receiver (Santana Moss), an effective tight end (Chris Cooley) and a QB who has thrown 22 touchdowns and just nine interceptions.

7. OK, while I'm on the subject, let me rank the NFC Super Bowl hopefuls.

1. Redskins: Outstanding defense and just enough offense to beat any team in the league.

2. Bears: Absolutely love the move to Rex Grossman. If Muhsin Muhammad holds on to the football, the Bears might score enough points to sneak into the Bowl.

3. Seahawks: Just feel like Matt Hasselbeck is going to do a couple of stupid things in Seattle's playoff opener and it's going to be curtains.

4. Buccaneers: Wouldn't be surprised if they were routed in their first playoff game. Wouldn't be surprised if they advanced to the NFC championship.

5. Panthers: You can rip Carolina's defense, but the problem with the Panthers is their running game. Lack of a consistent ground attack has exposed Jake Delhomme.

6. Giants: Eli Manning's happy feet and 52 percent completion rate will cost the Giants early.

7. Cowboys: You gotta make the playoffs to advance to the Super Bowl.

If Not Them, Who?

As I posted yesterday (from the Washington Post):

...Theismann is feeling pretty good about his preseason prediction that his former team will advance to the Super Bowl.

"Yes, I stand behind my prediction," Theismann said. "What's changed to make me change my mind? I don't care if people think I'm a homer. You could analyze this team and come to the same conclusion. Plus, outside of Seattle, there isn't a dominant team in the NFC. They had Tampa on the ropes. Carolina had a must-win at home against Dallas and couldn't win that one, so who is out there in the NFC that they would be considered overmatched against?"

The Redskins can make the playoffs with a win Sunday. Theismann, who watched the Redskins go from 5-6 to a win from a playoff team, says now he isn't the one who is crazy.

"Sean Salisbury said if it happened, he would walk from Dallas to New York, or something like that," Theismann said of his fellow ESPN analyst...


If you're following along at home, here are all of the seedings for the various outcomes this weekend. Great stuff.

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

The Redskins are the Best Team in the NFC

The Redskins are the best team in the NFC. That might be like the one-eyed man being king in the world of the blind, but never the less, the Redskins are the best team in the NFC. Fans who would like to see the NFC upset the AFC in this year’s Super Bowl should be rooting for the Redskins to get there because they have the best chance to do it.

Others might argue that Seattle and Chicago, the teams that own the number one and two seeds in the NFC playoffs, respectively, are best. True, those teams have a collective 19 wins and 2 losses against NFC opponents, but they have a collective 0 wins and 2 losses against the Redskins. That’s worth repeating: The Seahawks and Bears are 19 - 0 against NFC opponents not named the Redskins and 0 – 2 against the Redskins this year.

Seattle plays in the NFC West which is probably the weakest division in the NFL, and plays six games against Arizona, St. Louis, and San Francisco. Those three teams have a combined record of 13 – 32, and Seattle is 6 – 0 against them.

Chicago plays in the NFC North, which is probably the second-worst division in the NFL, and plays six games against Minnesota, Detroit, and Green Bay. Those three teams have a combined record of 16 – 29, and Chicago is currently 5 – 0 against them with one game left against Minnesota.

The Redskins play in one of the toughest, most-balanced divisions in the NFL with four head coaches that have a collective eight Super Bowl appearances and fourteen conference championship appearances; a division which has a last place team with six wins—the Eagles—that was last year’s NFC Champion. The Redskins division opponents have a combined record of 24 – 21 and the Redskins are 4 – 1 against them so far with one game left against that last place team. Also, the Redskins are 5 – 0 against teams from the NFC West and North this year. Skins fans wish they could have played more games against the West and North.

So, while Seattle and Chicago have the top-two seeds in the NFC, the Redskins are clearly better.

The Redskins are better than the Giants. True, the Giants made them look bad in one game this year in New Jersey; it was the worst performance by the Redskins this year. But, as I’ve written before, there were unusual circumstances in that game that are literally impossible to repeat that gave the Giants extraordinary motivation. When the season was on the line this week and the Giants could have closed the door and possibly owned the number two seed and a bye, the Redskins beat them up. When the Redskins beat Philadelphia this week they will finish 10 – 2 in the NFC and 5 – 1 in the division compared with 8 – 4 in the NFC and 4 – 2 in the division for the Giants; that is still good, but not as good as the Redskins.

The Cowboys? Puhleeeze! The Skins beat them twice including a crushing 35 – 7 win when everything was on the line and the Cowboys wanted revenge.

The Redskins are better than Tampa Bay and Carolina. The Redskins beat the Bucs in Tampa as everyone in the nation who was not wearing a striped shirt was able to see with their own eyes. Troy Aikman, Boomer Esiason, writers at The St. Petersburg Times and everyone that doesn’t have a bias against the Redskins all saw Alstott come up short in his two-point conversion try in the Redskins win over Tampa Bay. But the striped shirt guys inexplicably did not see enough evidence to overturn a really bad call and handed the Bucs a one-point win. As for the media-darling Panthers, they couldn’t even beat the Cowboys at home in a crucial game. Tampa’s record in the NFC is 8 – 3 (7 – 4 without the Alstott gift) and Carolina is 7 – 4 and each have one NFC game left. The Redskins would be 11 – 1 in the NFC (after beating Philadelphia) if it weren’t for the Alstott gift.

So, the Redskins are the best team in the NFC by virtue of being better than the best the NFC has to offer. If there is any justice in the NFL, the Giants will lose to Oakland on Saturday and the Redskins will beat Philly. With that, the Redskins would win their division and host a first-round playoff game, possibly against the Buccaneers. That wouldn’t be as good as finishing 11 – 5 and getting a first-round bye, which they would have achieved were it not for the Alstott gift, but it would be close enough. It would be some measure of justice.

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Priceless

From the New York Daily News:


NFL goofs with champ gear


An official 2005 NFC East division champions
locker-room hat with the Giants' logo on it? $21.99.

The accompanying T-shirt? $19.99.

The Washington Redskins winning the NFC East title instead?

Yesterday that was priceless, because while the NFL was selling official Giants NFC East championship gear at its online store, the league did not appear to be selling similar items with the Redskins logo. The Redskins, of course, could still steal the division title from the Giants this weekend if the Giants lose in Oakland on Saturday and the Redskins win in Philadelphia on Sunday.

But that didn't stop NFLshop.com from featuring official "locker room" gear from a Giants' locker room celebration that may never take place...

Ralph Vacchiano

Monday, December 26, 2005

Washington 35-New Jersey 20: Separating Myth from Fact and the Ball from Burress

I grew up and live in Giants territory. I played Pop Warner football against Rutherford near the swamps where they later built Giants stadium. I hear and read the New York sports media every day, so I know how Giants fans think.

So, with that in mind, let me tell you what New York sports society thinks about the Redskins stomping on the Giants on Saturday. I’ll present a myth and follow it with a fact.

Myth: The Giants lost because the officials gave the game to the Redskins. I’m not kidding, many really believe this. I heard it at Christmas dinner the day after the game; I heard it on WFAN radio from Domingo (sp?) the anchor who was filling in for Mike and the Mad Dog, and it was written in the Star Ledger. So, let’s walk through four penalties (updated from three on 12-27) that are in question. I’ll try to list them in the priority that Giants fans feel are the most egregious.

First, there was a holding call on guard Chris Snee that erased a touchdown late in the fourth quarter when the Giants were losing by a score of 35 – 20. Giants’ fans do not think Snee held, probably because Butch Johnston said that it was a borderline call on the FOX broadcast.

Fact: Where do I begin? How about with Snee himself?
Snee: “If I happened to pull him down on the way down, if that’s what they saw, it’s a penalty.”

Okay, we've established that some ref saw Snee hold and that's why he threw the flag. Now, we have Snee himself stating that he might have pulled him down, and if he did (apparently he just can’t remember whether he did or not because defensive lineman fall down for no reason all of the time) AND—here is the important part—if they saw it, THEN it is a penalty.

Well, apparently the ref saw what anyone could clearly see on a replay, which I reviewed on TIVO. Snee was falling down, the Skins’ Renaldo Wynn was spinning away from Snee toward a wide-open shot at Manning, and Snee smartly grabbed the back of Wynn's jersey near the shoulder pads and pulled him down to keep his QB from getting killed. Regardless of what Butch Johnston said on the broadcast, they always call holding in the NFL when a defensive lineman’s jersey is pulled off of his shoulder pads and then he immediately falls down as if he were pulled. There is simply no other explanation for a lineman's jersey to come off of the shoulder pad.

Second, there was the roughing the passer call on Jackson on third and three on the Giants 48 yard line.

Fact: I don’t know if I would have thrown a flag, but I’ve seen much worse calls than that for roughing.

I agree that if Ramsey were a wide receiver who dropped a pass and then took that hit, they probably wouldn’t throw a flag. But, the NFL is all about protecting its quarterbacks and Jackson should know that. There were several clean hits that the Redskins put on opposing QBs this year that were called personal fouls when, unlike Jackson, there was absolutely no way for the defender to stop his momentum toward the QB.

In this case, the ref didn’t throw the flag because he thought the hit on Ramsey was particularly vicious. He threw it because Jackson took two more steps toward Ramsey after Ramsey released the ball and then hit Ramsey’s face mask with his helmet. The rule doesn’t say you have to hurt the QB in order for it to be roughing the passer. The rule says that if you can help it, you are not allowed to hit the QB after he releases the ball.

Also, Giants fans seemed to have forgotten that Ramsey converted that third down on a four-yard out to Moss. Yes, the ball moved 15-yards closer, but there were still 29-yards between the ball and the goal line. They just couldn’t stop Portis that day and they certainly didn’t stop him on that drive because Portis took three more handoffs for those 29 yards and touchdown.

Third, The illegal touch call on the Giants punt put the ball at the Washington twenty-yard line instead of the three. The player who made the illegal touch was pushed out of bounds.

Fact: Okay, he definitely was pushed out. I have searched hard to find the exact wording of that rule to no avail. I know that the intent is to keep a player from having an unfair advantage by using the out of bounds area of the field.

Two things struck me about that play. 1. the Giants player continued running out of bounds when no Redskins players were around him. I know that because Sean Taylor tried to dislodge his brain from his skull but whiffed and there was no one around him for his next five or six strides. Maybe the officials felt he should have made more of an effort to get back in bounds. But, 2. the bottom line is the Redskins' 7-minute, 13-play, 80-yard touchdown drive would have been an 8-minute, 15-play, 97-yard touchdown drive because the Giants could not stop the Redskins on that series.

The last penalty that the Giants and their fans are bitching about is a non-call on Shawn Springs against Burress on fourth and two, down by FIFTEEN, with 5:20 left in the game.

Fact: All I can say is if the Giants want to get that call in the future Manning should throw the ball somewhere in the vicinity of the receiver. Springs gave everything he had to grab that ball—and he got closer to it than Burress—but he was still about four yards away from touching it. If there was contact, it was incidental as he was diving for an uncatchable ball, and that is not pass interference. By the way, that happened right in front of my seats and I saw the ref reach into his pocket for the flag before he came to his senses and stuffed it back in.

Fact: The overriding fact dispelling the myth that the refs cost the Giants the game is that the Redskins simply played better than the Giants. The Stats, and points, prove it.

The Redskins are simply a better team than the Giants. According to Matthew Futterman in yesterday’s Star Ledger, the Giants players were crying before the game that Burress should have gone to the Pro Bowl instead of Santana Moss. Apparently they don’t feel that way anymore according to Futterman—for good reason—because the most obvious difference in this game was that Moss made great plays and caught balls that hit his hands and Burress did not.

The less obvious difference is that the Redskins offensive linemen are better than the Giants defensive lineman. Chris Samuels, the only other Redskins player voted to the Pro Bowl as a starter, played better than Giants Pro Bowl defensive end Osi Umenyiora—one of five Giants Pro Bowlers. Chris is a good lineman, but I think the Skins have two or three others at least as good who aren’t going to the Pro Bowl. Osi, by the way, had ZERO tackles and ZERO sacks against Samuels; that’s known as a shutout.

Need more differences? Brunell is twice the quarterback that Manning is now. Forget Manning’s pedigree and potential, Brunnell gets it done and has been there (Championship games) twice before. Eli might be there some day, but sober Giants fans would not make that prediction based on what they saw in the Giants’ last six games.

More? Portis is a better running back than Tiki Barber. Don’t get me wrong, Tiki is very good and I like him. And, I think he is having a better season than Portis overall. If he were on the Redskins I would buy his jersey. But, I wouldn’t trade them straight up.

Only two running backs in the history of the game have more rushing yards in their first four seasons than Clinton Portis, and Portis has achieved that after completely changing his running style from Denver’s slashing, zone-blocking rushing game to Gibbs’s smash-mouth, counter trey, between-the-tackles rushing game. Also, I have been surprised with other positive things that Portis does extremely well like picking up blitzers, delivering crunching blocks and swinging out for passes on check downs. I know Tiki does this well also, and both are great teammates and have been leaders, but Portis is the better rusher.

More? The Redskins tight ends are better than the Giants'. The Redskins tight ends have combined for fifteen touchdowns to the Giants' seven. Granted the tight end is more important to the Redskins offense than the Giants', but with all of the press and accolades that Shockey gets, you would never know that the Redskins have lapped the Giants' tight ends in TDs. They all go about their business quietly. And, Cooley, the quietest of them all, is straight up better than Shockey.

Finally, I don’t care how many Giants’ defenders are going to the Pro Bowl versus the Redskins’ none, the Redskins’ defense is simply better than the Giants’.

So, no, the refs didn’t cost the Giants the game. The Redskins cost the Giants the game. If your team loses by FIFTEEN and you’re complaining because your team didn’t get the chance to TIE the game on a bomb, extra point, second touchdown and two-point conversion—all with about six minutes left in the game when the other team converted 64% of it’s third downs, held the ball for 33:13 and your team couldn’t stop their offense from scoring 35-points in the first 54 minutes—you need a reality check.

Lost in all of that is that there were some pretty questionable calls on the Redskins, too.

Myth: The Giants didn’t bring their “A” game. They didn’t “play well.” They didn’t “tackle.”

Fact: The Giants knew exactly what was at stake and they couldn't get it done. The Giants knew they could have won the division if they beat the Redskins and they had a decent shot at a much-coveted bye in the first round of the playoffs with a win. They had plenty of incentive to win that game. The Giants didn’t have a let down. The Redskins knocked them down—and off—the line of scrimmage because the Redskins are a better team.

One of the things Giants coach Tom Coughlin cited as proof that they didn’t bring their “A” game was their failure to tackle on the Redskins first touchdown drive. Note to coach: When offensive lineman and H-backs knock your defensive players backwards before they get a chance to lay a finger on the guy with the ball, that is not poor tackling, that is great blocking. The Giants didn’t lose the game; the Redskins won it. You don’t need any more evidence than Moss’s 17-yard score on that first TD drive that Coughlin mentioned. Moss caught a screen and Cooley, Samuels, and Rabach put pancake blocks on three of the Giants trying to get to Moss, but they never got close enough to touch him. Redskins' guard Dockery kicked out and pushed the last potential Giants tackler backwards about ten yards into the end zone. Great blocking is not poor tackling. The Giants did their best on Saturday, but it wasn’t good enough.

In my next post, I'll write about where the Redskins stand in the conference, their playoff chances, and the playoffs. I am done writing about the Giants game, the Giants, and Giants' fans. I won't write on that topic again this year unless the Skins meet the Giants in the playoffs.

Friday, December 23, 2005

Fun with Dicks and James

Rick James: “Charlie Murphy! What’d the five fingers say to the face?”

Charlie Murphy: “I dunno, what?”

Rick James: “SMACK” (as he slaps Murphy in the face)


Substitute NFL pundits for James, and the Redskins for Murphy, and you’ll be close to the type of respect the Redskins are getting.

I just turned off WFAN radio in NY after hearing how the biggest surprise last week was not how good the Skins are, but that the Cowboys weren’t ready to play last week. The football genius Carl Banks was a guest on Domingo’s (sp?) show and this is a sampling of Banks’s take:

“The Cowboys weren’t ready to play” (Not: the Skins had a great game plan and are a better team)

“I was shocked because Bill usually has his guys ready to play” (Not: Gibbs had his team prepared)

“Gibbs’s ego allowed him keep in his starters and it cost them an injury to Randy Thomas the right guard and now they’ll be short if they make the playoffs” (Not: every game now is a playoff game and good teams have to finish every game)

I was also interested in hearing that the Giants are drawing straws to see who gets to pass rush against Ray Brown. I hope Brown hears that talk. Of course, Banks proved he’s an idiot by saying the defensive ends Strahan and Osi are going to have a field day on Brown and that they’ll have to keep a tight end in now to help Brown protect Brunell.

Really, Carl? Since when does the right GUARD block the defensive end? You moron.

More Carl: "They (the Cowboys) let a nondescript tight end, you know an unkown, score three touchdowns on them."

Yeah, Chris Cooley is so nondescript the rest of the league just named him to the Pro Bowl as an alternate. Let's compare two guys:

Cooley: 64 catches 725 yards and 6 TDs
Shockey: 63 catches 873 yards and 7 TDs

Is Shockey a "nondescript" player? I swear these guys are clueless.

Other comments from around the league were similar to Banks’s. Christine Carter has been trashing the Redskins all year on HBO's Inside the NFL. When Marino and Collingsworth told Christine she’d have to wear Redskins gear and a Joe Gibbs racing hat if the Skins make the playoffs, Carter said she’ll petition the league to get the seventh and eighth best AFC teams in as the NFC wildcards because they're better than the Skins.

R-E-S-P-E-C-T

Al Michaels on MNF: “Who would ever have guessed that the Redskins would beat the Cowboys that way?”

Well, Al, they do have the third best record in their conference—better than the Giants, Panthers, Falcons—whom you love—the Bucs, the Vikings, the Cowboys, etc. Basically, they have a better record than all of the teams that wouldn’t surprise you had THEY beaten the Cowboys 35 – 7. The only teams with a better record in the conference are the Seahawks and the Bears. But, the Redskins beat them both. Shocking. Maybe the pundits should try reading and research. Talking to each other at NFL functions does not constitute research.

And, forget about Giants fan Sally Jenkins’ take on the Redskins. How about Wilbon, who should know something about football, writing that only fans who named their pets “Riggo” thought that the Redskins would beat the Cowboys like that. Well, despite the fact that I had a pet named Riggo, I think if you’ve been paying attention, you should have guessed it was entirely possible.

So, the Redskins still get no respect, and that is probably a good thing. I think all of these Redskins play just a little bit harder when they have a chip on their shoulder. You don’t think Joe Gibbs is competitive? Or, Gregg Williams? I think these guys spend just a little more time in the film room when they get disrespected like that. And, it’s much easier putting a can of whupass on your opponent when they don’t expect you to; just ask the Cowboys.

I cannot wait until tomorrow. What are Carter, Wilbon, Banks, Mike and the Mad Dog, et al. going to say after the Redskins expose the Giants?

This picture says a thousand words. I expect a similar one of Tom Coughlin.




Hail to the Redskins

Thursday, December 22, 2005

The Night Before Christmas

‘Twas the night before Christmas, when all through our house
Ninety-Thousand creatures were cheering and ready to pounce
The burgundy stockings were chosen with care,
In the hopes that Portis, the uniform he’d wear

In the week the Skins practiced in their Reebok threads
While visions of Super Bowls danced in their heads
And Williams with his mane, and Gibbs with his cap
Had then settled down for a review of counter gap

When out on the field there arose such a clatter
Gibbs sprang from the film room to see what was the matter.
Away to the window Gibbs flew like a flash
Tore open the shutters and threw up the sash.

The flood lights on the field with the new-fallen snow
Gave the luster of mid-day to the players below,
When what to Gibbs wandering eye should appear
But a miniature Tiki and a bunch of blue queers

(Before I get inundated, that is not a slur. It is in the spirit of the original meaning of the word.)

With a little old coach, so sour and meek
Gibbs knew in a moment it must be Giants week
Small, slow, and weak, the Giants they came
Gibbs whistled and shouted and called them by name

“Now Tiki! Now Burress! Now Eli! We’re blitzin!
Your offense, it’s useless, the bit you’ll be spittin!
At the top of the East! But you’re due for a fall!
Now dash away! Dash away! Dash away all!”

As dry twigs that under one’s feet do crunch
Williams vowed that his D on Giants bones would munch
So out of FedEx the Giants they flew
They dropped the title trophy and Bowl tickets too

And then on game day I heard from the stands
The shouting and pounding from Redskins fans
As I raised up my fists and jumped up and down
Through the tunnel Tom Coughlin came with a bound

Dressed all in blue from his head to his toe
He begged to be spared of this terrible blow
His eyes—how they teared! His nose was a phlegm-in’
His mouth scrunched up like he just ate a lemon

Tom said, “We don’t deserve it, please take it. It’s yours
We had an easy schedule and nine games in New York
We can’t win road games, there’s no doubt that it’s true
When it comes to the Super Bowl you won’t see our blue

Your record in conference is better than most
The Hawks and the Bears, you burned them like toast
As for that first game, ‘twas a fluke, doesn’t jive
Like Hale I regret Well had only one life

And the refs did not like you, I just have to say
The Redskins were robbed down in Tampa Bay
Our tight end’s undisciplined he celebrates too early
And you have Chris Cooley who should play in Hawaii
But Shockey is family, family first, that’s the rule you know
We’ll cry if Sean Taylor arranges his funeral

Our QB’s a good one, but he’s simply not ready and
You have Brunnell! My God! What a veteran!”
Our defense was solid with ex-Redskin Pierce
But now backs’ll run on us like Ted Kennedy for beers

Our receiver, Plaxico, mugs corners to get open
And, his hold on the Chiefs, how’d the zebras miss that one?
The refs don’t flag us, you need not surmise
But the NFL owes you, revenge won’t surprise
And Moss is outstanding in so many ways
My team’s in the locker room, let’s call it a day”

Then he sprang to the bus, to his team gave a whistle
And they lowered their heads in defeat that was total
But, I heard him exclaim, ere he ran out of sight
“Hail to the Redskins, Y’all, and to all a good night”

Monday, December 19, 2005

Unfinished Business

One of my sons sprained a knee in wrestling practice and didn’t tell me until Friday night, and both sons got sick, so you can imagine the conflict that I felt when I had to eat my tickets to yesterday’s Redskins game. And, I had no means of getting my tickets to the charity that I normally send them to given the late notice. Right up until the last minute I was rationalizing why it would have been okay to take our sick sons out in thirty-degree weather with one hobbling on a sprained knee. Daddy dearest.

I was looking forward to screaming my lungs out. I was expecting a huge celebration. I watched the game in HD and 5.1 stereo and it was loud, and it was almost like I was there, but not quite. What made it worse was that four of the Redskins scores and many of the defense’s big plays were on my side of the field: two of Cooley’s three TDs; Santana Moss’s unbelievable diving catch, and later his run after a rocket screen; and Mike Sellers’ TD were all on my side. Each time, I turned to my wife and said “that was right in front of our seats.”

I never expected them to win by 28 points, the biggest margin in the history of the Redskins-Cowboys rivalry, but I did expect a decisive victory because Joe Gibbs knows how to win when it counts. As the Colts demonstrated this weekend, no team goes undefeated. It is almost irrational to try to go undefeated and impossible to reach that goal if a team doesn’t try. So, while a coach has to prepare his team to play its best every week, the coach has to prepare especially well to play a team in the division or the conference. Those games simply mean more because of the playoff tie breakers. Also, when the calendar turns to NFL crunch time—December and the playoffs—a coach has to prepare especially well.

Gibbs was hired to get the Redskins especially prepared to play these games just as he did in his first tenure. Joe Gibbs’s is now 3 – 0 in December this year, and 6 – 2 in games played after 11/30 since he returned. His career record in games played after 11/30 is now 50 – 15. That is simply spectacular, especially because he earned it playing in games like yesterday’s when the season was on the line for both teams, when both teams needed a victory. Also, consider this: some of Gibbs’s 15 losses came in the last game of the regular season when his team had already wrapped everything up and he rested players to prepare for the playoffs.

Now, look at Gibb’s record in games in the conference and division. After the Seahawks and Bears, the Redskins own the best record in the NFC, but the Redskins beat the Seahawks and Bears this year. The Seahawks and Bears each have one loss in the conference. It’s not Gibbs’s fault that the rest of the conference can’t beat these guys; he did. Take away the travesty that was the Tampa Bay game and the Redskins would be tied with those two for the fewest losses in the NFC with two NFC games to play.

The Redskins are currently tied with the Giants for fewest losses in the division. The Redskins play two more division games and the Giants play one—against the Skins this week. The Redskins final division game is against the depleted Eagles on January 1. Take away the travesty of the Tampa Bay game and this week’s game against the Giants would be for the division title. Neither the Giants nor the Redskins are likely to lose their last game, so this week’s game would have been huge. It would have been national. Everyone would have watched it. Instead, Fox is broadcasting the Cowboys versus the Panthers; still a good game, but not a game for a division title with an old, historic rivalry. The blown call in the Bucs game is sad for the Redskins, but it’s also sad for the NFL and Fox Sports.

So, the Redskins have beaten every team in the NFC this year except one. They beat the Seahawks who will have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. They beat the Bears who are likely to get a first-round bye. They beat the Bucs (don’t tell me they didn’t). They beat the NFC-champion Eagles when the Eagles had McNabb, Sheppard, and Westbrook, when the Eagles were still the team that reached the NFC championship game in four straight years. They beat the Cowboys TWICE, and in one win Gibbs put Parcells over his knee and gave him a spanking.

So, the only NFC team that the Redskins have not beaten this year is the Giants. That will be remedied this weekend.

Other than two games, the Redskins and Giants schedules are identical. The Redskins didn’t get to play the pitiful Saints or a 3 – 5 Vikings team at home as the Giants did. Instead, the Redskins had to play two first-place teams: Chicago and Tampa. Also, the Giants never played the NFC Champion Eagles with McNabb, Westbrook, and Sheppard and the Giants almost lost to the depleted Eagles two weeks ago. The Giants couldn’t beat the Cowboys on the road and barely did at home. The Giants couldn’t beat the Seahawks.

The Giants played with a lot of emotion at home after the death of their beloved owner the last time the Redskins faced them. This time, the Redskins will be playing with emotion. The Redskins are the class of the NFC this year, but still don’t get respect. They will knock the Giants off the ball. Tiki? Ta Ta. Osi? See ya. Eli? Ole.

It is an injustice that their pending beat down of the Giants will not result in an NFC East title for the Redskins. If there is any justice, the Giants will lose to the Raiders, too. I hope we see a reprise of Shockey’s Seattle celebration in Oakland. Other than watching Sellers blow people off the line, Moss making diving catches, and Cooley and Portis score touchdowns, that premature celebration quickly followed by a loss was probably the most entertaining moment of the season.

Saturday, December 17, 2005

Congratulations Giants

The Giants just won the NFC East with a huge assist from the NFL.

Nine home games--seven on the road--for a team that cannot win on the road should have been the first clue that someone or something has been watching over the Giants this year. I think it's pretty obvious that this team had little chance of winning the division without help. But, when NFL officials throw flags against the Chiefs for finishing tackles, well that is the final straw. The Chiefs got a taste of what the rest of the NFC has been living with this year. Congratulations Giants. (Update 12-18-05: Mike Francesca and Phil Simms--both Giants homers--just said on Mike's NFL Now radio show that those calls against the Chiefs were ridiculous. Simms went so far as to say they probably changed the outcome of the game.)

The Giants should appeal to the league for home field advantage throughout the playoffs on the grounds that they can't win without it.

Thursday, December 15, 2005

Law of Averages Catches Up to the Giants

The road to the NFC East title now goes through New Jersey because the Giants eliminated the Eagles from the playoffs last week. The Giants squeeked out a win in a game they should have lost, but good teams win the close ones. Besides, the Eagles were really eliminated weeks ago in the Cowboys game when McNabb was injured. Still, you have to wonder about the Giants chances given that their injury luck has finally run out and that they cannot win on the road where they play two of their last three.

Ex-Redskin Antonio Pierce got a high-ankle sprain in the Eagles game. That injury typically keeps players out four- to six-weeks, or in the Giants case the rest of their season. Pierce is arguably the Giants most important player on defense. Sure, Strahan puts up sack numbers and demonstrates leadership, but Pierce calls all of the plays and was the Giants leading tackler. Pierce should have been the starting middle linebacker in the Pro Bowl last year; how Jeremiah Trotter earned that right when he only started five games is beyond me. Pierce will be sorely missed by Giants fans, especially when Vermeil jams Larry Johnson down the Giants throats on play after play.

In addition to Pierce, the Giants have lost both of their starting offensive tackles and some of their backup lineman are dinged up. The Giants were blessed by a lack of injuries to this point. Now, they are catching up with the rest of the league.

As for their difficulty winning on the road, you need no more proof than the game in Philadelphia. If Akers' 49-yarder bounced forward instead of backward, the Eagles win that game. The fact that the Giants couldn't beat an Eagles team in regulation that was missing Owens, McNabb, and Westbrook--virtually the entire Eagles offense--and Lito Shepherd says a lot about the Giants. That game shouldn't have been close but it follows the pattern the Giants have set since Manning became the starter.

The Giants had angels on their shoulders all season. Hurricane Katrina eliminated 1/8th of the Giants road games where they have proven they cannot win. The deaths of Mara and Tisch, especially Mara, gave them an inordinate amount of emotion in at least one game. The angels kept their players healthy all year. Disaster for everyone else was good news for the Giants--maybe the beings on their shoulders are not angels after all. Who knows, maybe the Chiefs' plane goes down on the way to New Jersey, but I doubt it. The law of averages eventually catches up, and it caught up with the Giants last week.

Tuesday, December 13, 2005

Things Change Quickly in the National Parity League II

I had previously written that the Redskins best chance at the playoffs was to win the division and I’m still convinced that they will. But, now they also have a decent shot at a wild card if they don’t win the division. Things change quickly.

Carolina’s unexpected loss to the Bucs makes the Redskins’ 7 – 2 record in the NFC the best conference record among wild-card contenders; record in the conference is a critical wild-card tie breaker. Only the Bears at 8 – 1 in the NFC and the Seahawks at 10 – 1 have a better conference record than the Redskins, but Seattle already clinched their division and the Bears are likely to clinch the North.

Isn’t it funny that the two teams with the best NFC records have only one loss each and each loss was against the Redskins? So, if the Bears slide down to wild card contender, the Skins own the first tie breaker against them. The Redskins are definitely playoff worthy.

My prediction still stands: The Redskins run the table and win the NFC East.

Veni Vedi Vici: Skins 17 - Cards 13

Winning ugly is much better than losing beautifully. The perfect example of looking great while losing is the Redskins game against the Buccaneers. The Skins outplayed the Bucs and managed to put up thirty-five points against what was the number one defense in the NFL. Then, in crunch time, with less than a minute to play, the Redskins defense stopped Alstott before he broke the plane of the goal line and the defense preserved a one-point victory. Almost everything about that game was pretty, except for the official NFL version of the outcome, which says that the Redskins lost by one point.

So, don’t talk to me about how bad the Redskins offense looked in the first half of the Cardinals game; I don’t want to hear it. Just look at the official NFL understanding of the outcome of that game. They won. The Redskins rushed for 185 yards against Tampa versus Tampa’s 61 rushing yards. Mark Brunell threw for 226 yards and two touchdowns in that game. The offense did all of that in Tampa’s house. But, they lost. The only thing that matters is the W.

The Bad
Mark Brunell played his worst game and has been in a bit of a decline in the past four weeks—since the Buccaneers game. There are rumors that he has an injured thumb; considering that the Redskins hid his injuries last year, it is easy to believe. After starting the year picking flies off of pin heads from forty yards, he has been overthrowing some wide open receivers lately. Still, he has only given up eight interceptions for the year and half of those bounced off his receivers’ hands including one on Sunday. Overall, he has been superb.

The Good
The defense has been getting the job done, especially in crunch time. Much of that has to do with Cornelius Griffin getting healthy. Arrington was injured for the Cardinals game and so there have only been one or two games when Arrington, Griffin, and Taylor have started at the same time. If all three play, they will win. Also, at one point this year the Redskins had only managed to recover six of thirty-one fumbles, which I attributed to bad luck. On Sunday they recovered all six fumbles in the game--three of their own and three of the Cards. Their luck might be--as Dylan sung--"a changin'."

The Very Good
The Redskins have rejuvenated the running game. Betts played little and so had another week to heal. Cartwright has emerged. But, most importantly, Portis has been able to move the chains on third down. The most significant third-down conversion came on third and six with just under two minutes to play on Sunday. Portis got hit after gaining two and carried a pile of players another four yards to move the chains and end the game. That bodes well. If they had done that in similar situations against the Bucs, Chargers, and Raiders they'd be looking down on the rest of the NFC East now. Also, the special teams have played great all year, both in scoring on kicks--like Antonio Brown's TD on Sunday--and in covering kicks and punts. That is very important at this time of year.

The defense, a running game, and special teams win in the playoffs.

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

Things Change Quickly in the National Parity League

At first glance, the Giants win against the Cowboys put a dent in the Redskins chance to win the division. Upon closer inspection, however, the Redskins still have a realistic chance at the division title. In fact, it might be easier for the Redskins to win the division than to earn a wild card because of the Redskins and Giants’ remaining schedules and because there are fewer teams in contention for the division title than the wild card.

The Redskins should easily win their road games against the Cardinals this week and the Eagles in the final week. Both stadiums will be empty and quiet when the Redskins show up. Their two toughest games will be against the Cowboys and Giants, but both of those will be played at home.

To have a realistic shot at the playoffs, the Redskins must run the table. But, if they run the table, they will only need minimal help to win the division. If the Redskins run the table, the Cowboys would be 10 – 6 at best, and the Skins sweep would knock them out of the playoffs. So, the Redskins would simply need the Giants to lose one game in addition to the loss to the Redskins on Christmas Eve.

The Giants would have to lose to either the Eagles in Philadelphia (although not likely, think Joe Pisarcik), the Chiefs (very possible), or the Raiders in Oakland on New Year’s Eve (possible). There is a good chance that the Redskins will control their playoff destiny before the Giants game on Christmas Eve.


(Photo credit BG at ExtremeSkins.com)

Why is this scenario realistic? Notice that three of the Giants last four games are on the road. The Manning-led Giants are 1 – 3 on the road this year (after subtracting out their “road” win against the Saints in NJ). That one road win this year also happens to be Manning’s only road win in his career after going 0 – 3 as a starter on the road last year. That sole win was against the lowly 49ers who started a fourth-string quarterback in that game, and despite it all, the Giants entered the fourth quarter of that game with only a 10 to 6 lead.

As Joe Gibbs said yesterday at his Monday press conference: “If we take care of our games, you’ll find that good things will happen for us in the other games.” Things change quickly in the National Parity League.

Monday, December 05, 2005

Brian Baldinger is Nearly an Anagram for Brainless Lingerer



Brian Baldinger is the lamest football analyst on television. The purpose of the words that came out of his mouth in the Redskins v Rams telecast yesterday was to fill space rather than provide insight. For Baldinger to say that Joe Gibbs doesn’t know today’s game is ludicrous. After I complained about Baldinger to my wife for the sixth time during the telecast, she left the room. She was tired of hearing it from me.

The stunner, though, was this: At one point, Baldinger said that Gibbs cannot win in the NFL today only scoring 17 points a game like he did in his first tenure because the offenses have really opened up. Huh? Does Baldinger check the facts before a broadcast? Does he realize that the 1983 Redskins set a NFL record by scoring 541 points—almost 34 points per game—which wasn’t broken until Minnesota barely beat it in 1998 with 556 points?

Joe Gibbs’s Redskins still own second place in the all-time, single-season scoring category. This might provide some perspective for him: Miami never scored 541, not even when they had Marino to Duper and Clayton. San Francisco never did it, not even with Roger Craig and Montana to Rice. No team led by Brett Favre ever did it. The Broncos with Elway and Terrell Davis never did it. The Greatest Show on Turf never scored that many (although they came close). The Colts with Manning, Harrison, and James never did it. What is really remarkable is that the Redskins set that record before it was a penalty to breath on a quarterback and look askance at a wide receiver.

Oh, and a sampling of some of Gibbs’s other seasons confirms what knowledgeable fans already know: 1984: 27 points per game; 1986: 23 PPG; 1987: 24 PPG; 1990: 24 PPG; 1991: 30 PPG. He scored less than 20 PPG in two seasons: 1992, which was the last year of his first tenure, and 1985, which was his worst scoring year at 18.6 PPG.

Another favorite of mine came when Baldinger said Arrington’s knee is not healthy and said “look at him limp to the sideline.” A few minutes later, they showed Arrington sitting alone on a table on the sideline, laughing and joking with the cameraman and swinging his legs under the table. It was a miracle recovery.

I have been surprised to find that Fox’s best analysts are former Cowboys Aikman and Johnston. I would much rather listen to crowd noise in 5.1 stereo than listen to Baldinger analyze another Redskins game.

Friday, December 02, 2005

Meaningful Redskins Games Post 11/30

Okay, Redskins fans. This is it: This weekend is the beginning of a string of meaningful games in December and January. This is why Dan Snyder and Redskins fans wanted Joe Gibbs back at the helm.

Here is the deal: Yes, they have played one of the toughest schedules in the league. Yes, they have caught some bad breaks with injuries (which team hasn’t). Yes, they caught some very bad breaks from the officials. Yet, despite it all, the Redskins now have two more wins than they did at this time last year.

After eleven games last year, the Skins had only managed wins against Tampa Bay, Chicago, and Detroit. After eleven games last year, they were 3 – 4 in the NFC and 0 – 3 in the NFC East and were on their way to 6 – 6 in the conference and 1 – 5 in the division. Many fans might not remember that when they were 3 – 8 at this time last year, a win in the next week against the Giants meant that they controlled their playoff fate. That’s right; after the Redskins beat the Giants last year in the twelfth game, they controlled their playoff fate at 4 - 8. If they had run the table, they were guaranteed a playoff spot.

This year they are in far, far better shape at 5 – 2 in the conference and 2 – 1 in the division. Of course, this year it will take more than the eight wins that it took last year to make the playoffs, but only one or two more. If the Redskins run the table, they will make the playoffs. So, this is the springboard from which the Redskins will jump into the softest part of their schedule. Things are really not that bleak. And, oh yeah, the calendar changed to December. Joe Gibbs's record in games played after November 30 is 47 wins and 15 losses.

The next two games, St. Louis and Arizona, are very winnable. Of course, I said the same about Tampa and Oakland. The toughest part of both games will be the travel. But the Redskins have played much better football than both of those teams. If they do not win both, they are not a playoff team. Conversely, if they win both, all of the hand-wringing, coach-firing, and player-cutting that were recommended on message boards will be long forgotten. At 7 – 6, those naysayers will be back on the bandwagon. At 7 - 6, they should gain a game on both Dallas and New Jersey, both of which should be 8 - 5 after thirteen games.

Notice that if the Redskins are 7 - 6 and Dallas and New Jersey are 8 - 5 after thirteen games as I expect, the Redskins will once again control their playoff destiny. A sweep of their final three at that point will guarantee the division title because of head-to-head tiebreakers.

Therefore, the most important non-Redskin game this weekend is Dallas at New Jersey at 1pm. Skins fans should root for Dallas in that game to better ensure that outcome. After the Giants this week, Dallas faces a tough Chiefs team fighting for the playoffs next week and has a better chance of losing that game to the Chiefs than the Giants do of losing to Philadelphia in the next week.

I expect Dallas to beat the Giants because of their superior defense and more experienced quarterback. Meaningful games in December and January. Hail to the Redskins.

Thursday, December 01, 2005

NFL Power Rankings

Fox Sports Power Rankings place a sub 0.500 team in the tenth spot:


10. REDSKINS

A tough schedule and absurdly poor luck in recovering fumbles isn't helping things in Washington, but the absence of defensive tackle Cornelius Griffin has been another major reason for the team's recent struggles. Griffin suffered a hip injury against the Giants, missed three weeks, and was clearly not at 100 percent when he returned against San Diego. When healthy, Griffin is one of the few defensive tackles in the league who is effective both against the run and at rushing the passer. NEXT: at STL
Tough Schedule? Absurdly poor luck recovering fumbles? Where have I heard that before?